Posted by: Tony Carson | 16 September, 2007

Reading Bush’s Rattling Saber at Iran

An Israeli airstrike in Syria last week kicked up speculation in the Iranian press that Israel, in alliance with the United States, was really trying to send a message to Iran that it could strike Iranian nuclear facilities if it chose to.

“If I were the Iranians, what I’d be freaked out about is that the other Arab states didn’t protest” the airstrike, said George Perkovich, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “The Arab world nonreaction is a signal to Iran, that Arabs aren’t happy with Iran’s power and influence, so if the Israelis want to go and intimidate and violate the airspace of another Arab state that’s an ally of Iran, the other Arab states aren’t going to do anything.”

This is a very interesting interpretation/speculation of the current Bush thinking on Iran: In Bush Speech, Signs of a Split on Iran Policy in the Administration

What it doesn’t consider is just how economically desperate Iran is becoming, the recent gas rationing just one of any number of examples of this failing state. (see Gas rationing — tough times in Iran)

How far away from absolute destitution is the country? Is there real intelligence on this or just more of the contrived information concocted to justify an action?

The US doesn’t need to hasten Iran’s fall. It need only stand and wait. Or so it would appear.



  1. Ahmadinejad, why are we playing his game?

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